Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1360.467063 1552.742571 1768.124319 2028.318599 2335.519684 2688.361454 3126.718761
2025-08-10 1100.172591 1358.634189 1677.059626 2102.775885 2663.952094 3388.212761 4409.834296
2025-08-17 951.887192 1235.611104 1607.152471 2138.202714 2892.532373 3948.761673 5582.187582
2025-08-24 842.362487 1137.255137 1542.633162 2154.325705 3078.682129 4465.594155 6789.419367
2025-08-31 758.339924 1058.017484 1487.187084 2165.576082 3247.578801 4973.962510 8085.875268
2025-09-07 698.688614 1003.787280 1457.090040 2204.616139 3457.983570 5577.102008 9675.819689
2025-09-14 624.991747 919.016581 1368.873051 2136.518407 3477.364316 5856.347323 10741.398154
2025-09-21 564.351444 847.195798 1291.461815 2073.377195 3491.248548 6121.991304 11838.305046
2025-09-28 510.868712 781.020971 1215.335950 2001.161306 3475.143508 6324.286738 12849.813072
2025-10-05 491.268843 767.293268 1223.382221 2076.201996 3742.300738 7127.727720 15405.720787
2025-10-12 466.886647 743.029138 1210.481456 2110.541788 3934.628032 7814.224275 17897.129038
2025-10-19 444.667265 720.209968 1197.373724 2142.035165 4125.053818 8534.056557 20706.402165
2025-10-26 421.429621 694.551369 1178.342076 2163.222052 4305.754688 9291.736354 23956.413822
2025-11-02 406.875006 683.107231 1184.397054 2236.122912 4614.981358 10437.885674 28835.350099
2025-11-09 389.388806 664.596655 1174.930325 2275.072904 4853.274972 11465.616252 33817.392825
2025-11-16 370.980541 642.703966 1156.590197 2292.346705 5043.075933 12414.495038 39001.791116
2025-11-23 353.667832 621.375864 1137.163019 2304.472349 5222.430799 13383.215551 44774.509872
2025-11-30 340.845547 607.561812 1131.393701 2346.522517 5486.606651 14677.114324 52590.456226
2025-12-07 318.030215 572.470547 1078.755308 2273.179630 5431.334184 14972.808951 56340.811005
2025-12-14 297.657532 540.805970 1030.673407 2205.204914 5380.154067 15273.209254 60325.014498
2025-12-21 278.082812 509.453729 980.806693 2127.497161 5289.785511 15425.065650 63727.697602
2025-12-28 273.322391 507.788406 994.513172 2208.245330 5672.157843 17330.333544 77542.861861
2026-01-04 265.233672 498.651966 991.031150 2245.210941 5932.515117 18887.155564 90812.961344